이재명 대통령 국정운영 긍정평가가 한국사회여론연구소(KSOI) 정례조사 시작 이후 최저치인 42.8%를 기록했다는 여론조사가 나왔다. 반면 부정평가는 처음으로 과반을 넘어선 52.5%였다. 핵심 지지층인 40·50 세대에서도 긍정평가가 10%p 넘게 하락했으며, 중도층 부정평가도 과반을 상회했다.
이같은 결과는 한국사회여론연구소(KSOI)가 지난 18~19일 이틀간 전국 만 18세 이상 남녀 1001명을 대상으로 실시한 정기 여론조사에 따른 것으로 20일 공표됐다. 긍정평가는 직전 조사 대비 5.0%p 떨어졌으며, 부정평가는 5.7%p 올랐다. 긍정·부정 간 격차는 9.7%p로 오차범위를 벗어났다.
 ▲ 이재명 대통령. ©뉴시스 |
연령대별로는 30대에서 부정평가가 69.2%로 가장 높게 나타났다. 이어 20대에선 61.4%, 50대는 51.1%로 부정평가가 과반을 웃돌았다. 반면 40대와 60대에서는 긍정평가가 각각 52.2%와 50.5%로 우세했다. 70세 이상에서는 긍정평가 45.8%, 부정평가 44.2%로 오차범위 내 접전을 보였다.
지역별로는 서울에서 부정평가가 60.7%로 가장 높았다. 이어 대전·세종·충청 59.1%, 대구·경북 55.0%, 경기·인천 54.4%, 부산·울산·경남 52.4%로 과반을 넘어섰다. 강원·제주는 긍정 50.6%, 부정 47.0%로 오차범위 내였다. 광주·전남·전북에서는 긍정평가가 71.9%로 부정평가 23.2%를 압도했다.
이념 성향별로는 중도층 부정평가가 54.8%로 집계됐다. 반면 긍정평가는 직전 조사 대비 10.6%p 하락한 42.7%였다. 진보층에서는 긍정평가가 직전 조사 대비 10.1%p 떨어진 67.1%였으며, 보수층에서는 부정평가가 76.5%에 달했다. 중도층과 진보층 이탈이 두 자릿수로 뚜렷한 양상을 보였다.
정당 지지도 조사에서는 더불어민주당 42.5%, 국민의힘 32.0%로, 직전 조사 대비 양당 격차는 현상을 유지한 상태인 10.5%로 오차범위 밖이었다. 이어 조국혁신당 2.7%, 개혁신당 2.0%, 진보당 1.7% 순으로 나타났다. 그 밖에 기타 정당 1.2%, 무당층 16.4%인 것으로 집계됐다.
 ▲ 필자/정성태 칼럼니스트/시인. |
해당 조사는 구조화된 설문지를 이용했으며, 통신사가 제공한 무선 가상번호 활용 자동응답(ARS) 방식으로 진행됐다. 응답률 5.8%, 표본오차는 95% 신뢰수준에 ±3.1%p다. 자세한 내용은 중앙선거여론조사심의위원회 홈페이지를 참조하면 된다.
* 필자 : 정성태(시인/칼럼니스트).
*아래는 위 기사를 '구글 번역'으로 번역한 영문 기사의 [전문]입니다. '구글번역'은 이해도 높이기를 위해 노력하고 있습니다. 영문 번역에 오류가 있을 수 있음을 전제로 합니다.<*The following is [the full text] of the English article translated by 'Google Translate'. 'Google Translate' is working hard to improve understanding. It is assumed that there may be errors in the English translation.>
President Lee Jae-myung’s Approval Rating Hits Lowest Level at 42.8%... Drops by Over 10%p Even Among Centrists
- Columnist Jung Sung-tae
A public opinion poll has revealed that President Lee Jae-myung’s approval rating for his administration has hit 42.8%, the lowest figure since the Korea Social Opinion Institute (KSOI) began its regular surveys. Conversely, his disapproval rating stood at 52.5%, surpassing the majority for the first time. Even among his core support base of the 40s and 50s, the approval rating dropped by over 10%p, while the disapproval rating among centrists also exceeded the majority.
These results were announced on the 20th, based on a regular public opinion survey conducted by the Korea Social Opinion Institute (KSOI) over two days from the 18th to the 19th, targeting 1,001 men and women aged 18 and older nationwide. The approval rating fell by 5.0%p compared to the previous survey, while the disapproval rating rose by 5.7%p. The gap between positive and negative ratings stood at 9.7%p, exceeding the margin of error.
By age group, the disapproval rating was highest among those in their 30s at 69.2%. This was followed by those in their 20s at 61.4% and those in their 50s at 51.1%, with disapproval ratings exceeding the majority. Conversely, approval ratings were dominant among those in their 40s and 60s, at 52.2% and 50.5%, respectively. Among those aged 70 and older, approval ratings stood at 45.8% and disapproval ratings at 44.2%, showing a close contest within the margin of error.
By region, the disapproval rating was highest in Seoul at 60.7%. This was followed by Daejeon, Sejong, and Chungcheong at 59.1%; Daegu and Gyeongbuk at 55.0%; Gyeonggi and Incheon at 54.4%; and Busan, Ulsan, and Gyeongnam at 52.4%, all exceeding the majority. Gangwon and Jeju recorded 50.6% approval and 47.0% disapproval, remaining within the margin of error. In Gwangju, Jeonnam, and Jeonbuk, positive ratings stood at 71.9%, overwhelmingly surpassing negative ratings of 23.2%.
By ideological leaning, negative ratings among moderates were recorded at 54.8%. Conversely, positive ratings fell by 10.6 percentage points from the previous survey to 42.7%. Among progressives, positive ratings dropped by 10.1 percentage points to 67.1%, while negative ratings among conservatives reached 76.5%. The defection of moderates and progressives showed a distinct trend, with double-digit figures.
Negative views prevailed regarding the prospects for the party leadership of Representative Kim Min-seok, who was elected on the 17th. Responses indicating he would "do poorly" stood at 44.0%, 6.0 percentage points higher than the 38.0% who predicted he would "do well." However, among Democratic Party supporters, positive outlooks were overwhelming at 66.1%. "Cooperation with the opposition party" (24.8%) was cited most frequently as the top priority for the new leadership.
Regarding the prospects for the party leadership of the newly elected Democratic Party Representative Kim Min-seok, 44.0% of respondents predicted he would "do poorly," which was 6 percentage points higher than the 38.0% who predicted he would "do well." Even when limited to Democratic Party supporters, positive outlooks stood at only 66.1%—about two-thirds of the total—leaving challenges for Representative Kim's future leadership. This survey utilized a structured questionnaire and was conducted via an Automated Response System (ARS) using wireless virtual numbers provided by telecommunication companies. The response rate was 5.8%, and the margin of error is ±3.1%p at a 95% confidence level. For further details, please refer to the website of the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee.
* Author: Jung Sung-tae (Poet/Columnist).
