브레이크뉴스 정명훈 기자= 서울시장 보궐선거에서 여야가 단일후보로 맞대결을 펼친다면 야권 후보다 우세하다는 여론조사 결과가 나왔다.
다만 더불어민주당 박영선·국민의힘 오세훈·국민의당 안철수 3자 대결을 할 경우에는 박영선 후보가 우세했다.
8일 여론조사업체 입소스가 중앙일보 의뢰로 지난 5~6일 서울 거주 만 18세 이상 남녀 1004명을 전화면접 조사한 결과, 박영선 후보와 안철수 후보가 단일후보로 맞설 경우 안철수 후보가 47.3%, 박영선 후보가 39.8%로 오차범위(±3.1%) 밖에서 7.5%p 앞섰다.
또한 박영선 후보와 오세훈 후보간 맞대결시에도 오세훈 후보 45.3%, 박영선 후보 41.6%로, 오차범위 내에서 3.7%p 앞서는 것으로 나타났다.
하지만 야권 단일화가 무산돼 박영선-안철수-오세훈 3자 대결로 선거가 치러질 경우에는, 박영선 후보가 35.8%로 가장 높았고, 안철수 후보(26.4%)와 오세훈 후보(24.2%)가 그 뒤를 이었다.
아울러 안철수·오세훈 후보간 야권단일화 가능성을 묻는 질문에는 '성사되기 어렵다'는 여론이 더 많았다. '후보 단일화가 될 것'이라는 응답은 37.7%, '단일화가 안 될 것'이란 응답은 47.1% 였다. 모름·무응답은 15.2%였다.
정치성향으로 살펴보면 민주당 지지자라 밝힌 응답자 중 63.9%가 '단일화가 안 될 것'이라고 답했고, 국민의힘 지지자에서는 '단일화가 될 것'이라는 응답이 59.3%였다.
한편 이번 여론조사는 유선(14.9%)·무선(85.1%) 전화면접 조사 방식으로 진행됐으며, 표본오차는 신뢰수준 95%에 ±3.1%포인트다. 자세한 내용은 중앙선거여론조사심의위원회 홈페이지를 참고하면 된다.
*아래는 위 기사를 구글 번역기로 번역한 영문 기사의 [전문]이다. [Below is the [full text] of an English article translated from the above article with Google Translate.]
Opposition dominance in confrontation with the Mayor of Seoul'Ahn Cheol-soo 47.3% vs. Park Young-sun 39.8%'
In the by-election of the mayor of Seoul, if the opposition parties confront each other as a single candidate, the results of a public opinion survey showed that the opposition parties are superior to those after the opposition.
However, in the case of a three-way confrontation with Democratic Party Park Young-sun, People's Power Oh Se-hoon, and National Assembly Party Ahn Cheol-soo, candidate Park Young-seon predominated.
On the 8th, polling company Ipsos commissioned the JoongAng Ilbo to interview 1004 men and women aged 18 years or older living in Seoul on the last 5-6 days. The candidate was 39.8%, which was 7.5%p ahead of the error range (±3.1%).
In addition, when confrontation between Candidate Park Young-sun and Oh Se-hoon, Candidate Se-hoon Oh and Candidate Young-seon Park 41.6% were found to be 3.7%p ahead within the margin of error.
However, when the election was held in a three-way confrontation between Park Young-seon, Ahn Cheol-soo and Oh Se-hoon due to the unification of the opposition, candidate Park Young-sun was the highest at 35.8%, followed by candidates Ahn Cheol-soo (26.4%) and Oh Se-hoon (24.2%).
In addition, when asked about the possibility of unifying the opposition between candidates Ahn Cheol-soo and Oh Se-hoon, there was more public opinion that it is difficult to achieve. 37.7% answered'there will be unified candidates' and 47.1% answered'will not be unified'. 15.2% of the respondents did not know.
In terms of political orientation, 63.9% of the respondents who said they were supporters of the Democratic Party answered that'unification will not be possible', and 59.3% of respondents who supported the people's power'will become unified.
On the other hand, this poll was conducted by telephone interview survey method by wire (14.9%) and wireless (85.1%), and the sample error is ±3.1% point with 95% confidence level. For more information, refer to the website of the Central Election Survey Deliberation Committee.